Clustered survival data are encountered in many scientific disciplines including human and veterinary medicine, biology, epidemiology, public health and demography. Frailty models provide a powerful tool to analyse clustered survival data. In contrast to the large number of research publications on frailty models, relatively few statistical software packages contain frailty models.
It is demanding for statistical practitioners and graduate students to grasp a good knowledge on frailty models from the existing literature. This book provides an in-depth discussion and explanation of the basics of frailty model methodology for such readers. The discussion includes parametric and semiparametric frailty models and accelerated failure time models. Common techniques to fit frailty models include the EM-algorithm, penalised likelihood techniques, Laplacian integration and Bayesian techniques. More advanced frailty models for hierarchical data are also included.
Real-life examples are used to demonstrate how particular frailty models can be fitted and how the results should be interpreted. The programs to fit all the worked-out examples in the book are available from the Springer website with most of the programs developed in the freeware packages R and Winbugs. The book starts with a brief overview of some basic concepts in classical survival analysis, collecting what is needed for the reading on the more complex frailty models. TOC:Introduction.- Parametric Proportional Hazards Models With Gamma Frailty.- Alternatives for the Frailty Model.- Frailty Distributions.- The Semiparametric Frailty Model.- Multi-Frailty and Multilevel Models.- Extensions of the Frailty Model. In contrast to the large number of research publications on frailty models, relatively few statistical software packages contain frailty models.It is demanding for statistical practitioners and graduate students to grasp a good knowledge on frailty models from the existing literature. Preface
vii
Glossary of Definitions and Notation
xv
Introduction
1(42)
Goals
1(1)
Outline
2(1)
Examples
3(14)
Survival analysis
17(15)
Survival likelihood
18(2)
Proportional hazards models
20(6)
Accelerated failure time models
26(4)
The loglinear model representation
30(2)
Semantics and history of the term frailty
32(11)
Parametric proportional hazards models with gamma frailty
43(34)
The parametric proportional hazards model with frailty term
44(1)
Maximising the marginal likelihood: the frequentist approach
45(16)
Extension of the marginal likelihood approach to interval-censored data
61(4)
Posterior densities: the Bayesian approach
65(10)
The Metropolis algorithm in practice for the parametric gamma frailty model
65(9)
Theoretical foundations of the Metropolis algorithm
74(1)
Further extensions and references
75(2)
Alternatives for the frailty model
77(40)
The fixed effects model
78(9)
The model specification
78(6)
Asymptotic efficiency of fixed effects model parameter estimates
84(3)
The stratified model
87(6)
The copula model
93(11)
Notation and definitions for the conditional, joint, and population survival functions
93(2)
Definition of the copula model
95(2)
The Clayton copula
97(2)
The Clayton copula versus the gamma frailty model
99(5)
The marginal model
104(7)
Defining the marginal model
104(1)
Consistency of parameter estimates from marginal model
105(2)
Variance of parameter estimates adjusted for correlation structure
107(4)
Population hazards from conditional models
111(5)
Population versus conditional hazard from frailty models
111(3)
Population versus conditional hazard ratio from frailty models
114(2)
Further extensions and references
116(1)
Frailty distributions
117(82)
General characteristics of frailty distributions
118(12)
Joint survival function and the Laplace transform
119(1)
Population survival function and the copula
120(2)
Conditional frailty density changes over time
122(1)
Measures of dependence
123(7)
The gamma distribution
130(20)
Definitions and basic properties
130(1)
Joint and population survival function
131(3)
Updating
134(3)
Copula form representation
137(1)
Dependence measures
138(3)
Diagnostics
141(6)
Estimation of the cross ratio function: some theoretical considerations
147(3)
The inverse Gaussian distribution
150(14)
Definitions and basic properties
150(2)
Joint and population survival function
152(6)
Updating
158(1)
Copula form representation
158(3)
Dependence measures
161(3)
Diagnostics
164(1)
The positive stable distribution
164(13)
Definitions and basic properties
164(3)
Joint and population survival function
167(4)
Updating
171(1)
Copula form representation
171(2)
Dependence measures
173(3)
Diagnostics
176(1)
The power variance function distribution
177(13)
Definitions and basic properties
177(4)
Joint and population survival function
181(3)
Updating
184(1)
Copula form representation
185(1)
Dependence measures
186(3)
Diagnostics
189(1)
The compound Poisson distribution
190(5)
Definitions and basic properties
190(2)
Joint and population survival functions
192(1)
Updating
193(2)
The lognormal distribution
195(1)
Further extensions and references
196(3)
The semiparametric frailty model
199(60)
The EM algorithm approach
199(11)
Description of the EM algorithm
199(1)
Expectation and maximisation for the gamma frailty model
200(7)
Why the EM algorithm works for the gamma frailty model
207(3)
The penalised partial likelihood approach
210(23)
The penalised partial likelihood for the normal random effects density
210(4)
The penalised partial likelihood for the gamma frailty distribution
214(7)
Performance of the penalised partial likelihood estimates
221(7)
Robustness of the frailty distribution assumption
228(5)
Bayesian analysis for the semiparametric gamma frailty model through Gibbs sampling
233(25)
The frailty model with a gamma process prior for the cumulative baseline hazard for grouped data
234(5)
The frailty model with a gamma process prior for the cumulative baseline hazard for observed event times
239(5)
The normal frailty model based on Poisson likelihood
244(6)
Sampling techniques used for semiparametric frailty models
250(7)
Gibbs sampling, a special case of the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm
257(1)
Further extensions and references
258(1)
Multifrailty and multilevel models
259(28)
Multifrailty models with one clustering level
260(17)
Bayesian analysis based on Laplacian integration
260(8)
Frequentist approach using Laplacian integration
268(9)
Multilevel frailty models
277(9)
Maximising the marginal likelihood with penalised splines for the baseline hazard
277(2)
The Bayesian approach for multilevel frailty models using Gibbs sampling
279(7)
Further extensions and references
286(1)
Extensions of the frailty model
287(8)
Censoring and truncation
287(1)
Correlated frailty models
288(2)
Joint modelling
290(2)
The accelerated failure time model
292(3)
References
295(13)
Applications and Examples Index
308(1)
Author Index
309(5)
Subject Index
314
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